Euro 2024 Qualifiers Group C: Italy’s Shot at Redemption and England’s Dominance

The Euro 2024 Qualifiers in Group C continued in the early hours of September 10th, Beijing time. Defending champions Italy faced off against North Macedonia, the team that had ousted them from the World Cup. The stakes were higher for North Macedonia, increasing Italy’s chances to capitalize on counterattacks. Meanwhile, England, boasting a perfect record and an impressive goal tally, continued to assert their dominance in the qualifiers.

North Macedonia vs. Italy – Seeking Redemption for World Cup Qualifying Defeat

North Macedonia’s journey in the previous European Championship was a testament to their resilience. They fought their way into the tournament but struggled in the group stage, losing all three matches. Their performance, slightly better than Turkey’s due to goal difference, left them at the bottom of their group. This time around, North Macedonia faced a tough draw, being grouped with both the reigning European champions, Italy, and the previous runners-up, England, alongside a strong Ukraine team. Securing a top-three spot in such a competitive group seemed like a Herculean task.

In their first three matches, North Macedonia had a balanced record of one win and two losses. Their recent 7-0 defeat against England severely dented their chances of advancing. Throughout that match, North Macedonia failed to create any scoring opportunities and were dominated in possession. Their defensive strategy proved ineffective against England's relentless attack.

Two years ago, Italy, the reigning European champions, shocked the football world by failing to qualify for the World Cup. This unexpected failure overshadowed their Euro 2020 triumph. Despite this setback, Italy's performance in the UEFA Nations League was commendable. They advanced from a group of death featuring Germany and England and secured third place in the finals held in the Netherlands. Just as things seemed to be back on track, Roberto Mancini publicly expressed dissatisfaction with the Italian Football Federation and subsequently left to coach in Saudi Arabia. Given the allure of Saudi oil wealth, even without his issues with the federation, Mancini's departure seemed inevitable.

Mancini's successor, Luciano Spalletti, is a highly respected coach who recently led Napoli to an incredible Serie A title. His club-level achievements are on par with Mancini's. One might wonder why Saudi clubs didn’t pursue Spalletti directly. His availability before the start of the new season was indeed surprising.

Italy's defeat to North Macedonia in the previous World Cup qualifiers wasn’t entirely unexpected. The two teams had faced each other in the 2018 World Cup qualifiers, where Italy was held to a draw at home but managed to win away under less pressure. Given their poor performance in the first three matches of the current qualifiers, North Macedonia’s desperation for a win would likely open up counterattack opportunities for Italy. Ciro Immobile, who scored twice against North Macedonia in the 2018 qualifiers, was also available for this match, boosting Italy’s confidence. Italy aimed to avenge their World Cup qualifying defeat with a 3-0 victory away from home.

Ukraine vs. England – The Unstoppable Qualifying Kings

Ukraine’s home matches continued to be held in Poland. Following in the footsteps of his former Dynamo Kyiv teammate Andriy Shevchenko, Serhiy Rebrov took the helm of the Ukrainian national team. Appointed in June, Rebrov led Ukraine to an undefeated record of two wins and one draw in his first three matches. His tenure began with a thrilling 3-3 draw in a friendly against Germany, followed by a crucial win in the Euro 2024 qualifiers. Despite their solid start, Ukraine’s path to qualification was threatened by Italy’s lurking presence.

England, often dubbed the "Kings of Qualifying," demonstrated their prowess with an impeccable record. They won all four matches, scoring 15 goals – the highest in the qualifiers. Their away victory against Italy exorcised years of frustration. Having essentially secured their spot in next year’s European Championship, England’s remaining qualifying matches were more about refining tactics and giving opportunities to fringe players. Their dominant qualifying campaign reinforced Gareth Southgate’s secure position as England’s head coach.

In the first leg, England defeated Ukraine 2-0 at Wembley, where Ukraine failed to register a single shot on target. Ukraine now needed three points desperately, while England’s players might be slightly distracted by their commitments in the Premier League. This scenario suggested a possible 0-0 draw, with Ukraine potentially holding off England.

Match Analysis and Predictions

Italy’s Tactical Approach and Resurgence

Italy’s strategy under Spalletti aimed to leverage counterattacks against a desperate North Macedonia. Given their opponent’s need for a win, Italy anticipated more openings for quick transitions. Ciro Immobile’s presence added a potent attacking option, recalling his decisive goals in previous encounters.

Spalletti's tactical acumen, combined with Italy's depth and experience, was expected to steer them through the challenging away fixture. The focus on counterattacking and exploiting North Macedonia’s vulnerabilities provided a clear pathway for Italy to reclaim their dominance and secure a vital victory in their qualifying campaign.

North Macedonia’s Challenge

North Macedonia's main challenge was balancing their need for a win with the risk of being exposed defensively. Their previous heavy defeat to England highlighted defensive frailties that Italy would look to exploit. To stand a chance, North Macedonia needed to tighten their defense and capitalize on any rare opportunities they could create against a disciplined Italian side.

North Macedonia's strategy involved high pressing and quick transitions, hoping to unsettle Italy's defense. However, their susceptibility to counterattacks could prove costly, especially against an Italian team adept at exploiting such situations.

England’s Dominance and Tactical Flexibility

England's qualifying campaign showcased their depth and tactical versatility. Southgate’s approach combined solid defensive organization with potent attacking options. Their ability to score goals from various positions and maintain defensive solidity was key to their success.

Facing Ukraine, England aimed to control the game’s tempo, utilizing their superior possession play to dominate proceedings. Given their secure position in the qualifiers, Southgate might opt for squad rotation, giving fringe players a chance to impress while maintaining the team’s overall strength.

Ukraine’s Determination

Ukraine, under Rebrov, demonstrated resilience and tactical discipline. Their immediate need for points against a formidable England side necessitated a careful balance between defense and attack. Ukraine’s strategy focused on compact defense, quick counterattacks, and set-piece opportunities to unsettle England’s rhythm.

Rebrov’s tactical adjustments, combined with Ukraine’s determination to secure a positive result, added an intriguing dimension to the encounter. A disciplined and organized approach could enable Ukraine to frustrate England and possibly snatch a crucial point or even a win.

The Euro 2024 qualifiers in Group C highlighted the contrasting fortunes of Italy and England. Italy, under new management, sought redemption and a return to form, capitalizing on North Macedonia’s desperation. England, showcasing their qualifying dominance, aimed to continue their perfect run while providing opportunities for squad rotation. The upcoming matches promised tactical battles, showcasing the strategic depth and competitive spirit of European football. As the qualifiers progressed, fans eagerly anticipated the unfolding drama and the emergence of potential tournament contenders.