South American World Cup Qualifiers Round 2 Preview: Brazil Faces a Tough Opponent, Argentina Returns to the Hostile High Altitude

The second round of the South American World Cup qualifiers continues on the morning of September 13th (Beijing time). After a dominant win in the first round, Brazil travels to face Peru, who finished fifth in the last qualifiers. With a direct qualification spot now within reach, Peru showcased resilient defense in their opening match, indicating that Brazil should prepare for a hard-fought battle. Argentina faces a similar challenge, as their trip to Bolivia’s high-altitude venue will test the players' ability to cope with altitude sickness, which will significantly affect their chances of earning points.

Peru vs. Brazil - A Battle Against South America's Fifth

Peru, ranked fifth in the last qualifiers, narrowly missed out on a World Cup spot after losing to Australia in the intercontinental playoff. They stand to benefit from South America's additional World Cup slot. In their first match of this campaign, Peru displayed direct qualification potential by holding a strong Paraguay side to a 0-0 draw, despite being on the defensive from the start and losing a defender to a red card in the 45th minute. Given the considerable home advantage that South American teams typically enjoy, Peru’s ability to secure a point away from home against a comparable opponent is nearly as good as a win. Their defense, comprised entirely of MLS players, proved robust, allowing 19 shots but only 7 on target. However, their lack of offensive firepower remains evident. Veteran striker Paolo Guerrero, at 39 years old, started the match, but his supporting cast was gradually substituted, leaving Guerrero to hold the line alone—a situation that left coach Juan Reynoso visibly frustrated.

In contrast, Brazil hosted Bolivia in their opener at the Maracanã, where the home fans anticipated a comprehensive victory. The Seleção did not rush their attacks in the first half, strategically wearing down Bolivia’s stamina with sporadic bursts of intense pressure. While Bolivia managed to keep the score to 1-0 at halftime, they collapsed in the second half, conceding four goals, though they did manage a consolation goal. This match underscored the disparity in quality between the two sides. However, the real talking point was Richarlison’s tearful reaction after being substituted. Despite missing numerous chances, a recurring issue for the striker, the team’s victory made his emotional response puzzling. Speculation arose that interim coach Fernando Diniz might have informed him that his starting spot was under threat.

Historically, Peru occasionally manages to take points off Brazil, though this rarely happens in World Cup qualifiers. From their opening match, it’s clear that Peru’s determination is unwavering. Their tactical discipline is stringent, and with the Brazilian players adjusting to the time zone and Peru not needing such adaptation, Peru’s physical advantage could play a crucial role. They stand a good chance of securing a 1-1 draw at home against Brazil.

Bolivia vs. Argentina - The High-Altitude Challenge for Lautaro

Bolivia has finished second-to-last in the South American qualifiers for four consecutive cycles, sharing a consistent struggle with perennial bottom-dwellers Venezuela. However, Venezuela has visibly improved in recent years, while Bolivia relies heavily on their high-altitude home advantage to remain competitive. In their opening match against Brazil, Bolivia was completely outclassed, succumbing to relentless pressure whenever Brazil intensified their attacks. Had Brazil been more clinical, Bolivia would have faced a heavier defeat.

Argentina, on the other hand, relied on a moment of brilliance from Lionel Messi to edge past Ecuador in their first match. Despite transitioning to MLS, Messi’s responsibilities with the national team remain as heavy as ever, a cause for concern among Argentine fans. The team’s midfield and defense are robust, but with key players like Nicolás Otamendi and Messi in the twilight of their careers, the future leadership of the team is uncertain. Messi has previously struggled with the high altitude of Bolivia, even experiencing vomiting during matches. Given his age, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him start on the bench in this fixture.

In the last qualifiers, Argentina achieved a rare 2-1 victory away to Bolivia, their first win in La Paz in four attempts. Lautaro Martínez played a pivotal role with a goal and an assist, suggesting that the high-altitude environment might help him fine-tune his often wayward finishing. Argentina is expected to secure a narrow win, potentially with Martínez once again finding the net.

Tactics and Key Players

Peru's Resilience: In their defensive stronghold, Peru’s backline, composed mainly of MLS players, will be crucial. They will need to replicate their disciplined performance against Paraguay, focusing on stifling Brazil’s dynamic attack. Expect veteran Guerrero to lead the line, supported by younger, more mobile players who can exploit any lapses in Brazil’s defense.

Brazil's Depth: Brazil’s wealth of talent allows them to adapt and overcome even the most resolute defenses. Richarlison’s emotional reaction might lead to tactical adjustments by Diniz, possibly incorporating more clinical finishers to ensure that scoring opportunities are not wasted.

Argentina's Altitude Strategy: Argentina's approach will heavily depend on their ability to manage the physical demands of La Paz’s high altitude. Key players like Lautaro Martínez will be essential, as their ability to adapt to these conditions can make a significant difference. The defensive unit, led by Otamendi, will need to maintain focus and composure to counter Bolivia’s sporadic but potentially dangerous attacks.

Bolivia's Home Advantage: Bolivia’s strategy will hinge on maximizing their home advantage. They will likely adopt a defensive posture, looking to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces. Players accustomed to high-altitude conditions will be vital in maintaining energy levels and pressuring Argentina throughout the match.

Predictions

Peru vs. Brazil: Given their robust defense and home advantage, Peru is poised to challenge Brazil. A 1-1 draw seems a realistic outcome, provided Peru can maintain their defensive discipline and capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities.

Bolivia vs. Argentina: Argentina’s superior quality should see them through, but the high-altitude environment will test their endurance and strategy. A narrow 1-0 or 2-1 victory for Argentina is likely, with Lautaro Martínez potentially playing a decisive role.

The South American World Cup qualifiers are always intense, with teams like Peru and Bolivia proving that home advantage and resilience can often level the playing field against traditional powerhouses like Brazil and Argentina. As the second round unfolds, fans can expect thrilling matches characterized by tactical battles, individual brilliance, and the ever-present drama of World Cup qualification.