Primeira Liga Round 15 Preview: Benfica's Defense Faces Minimal Pressure, Porto Urgently Chasing Points and Goal Difference

The 15th round of the Primeira Liga continues in the early hours of December 30th, Beijing time. Defending champions Benfica face Famalicão, the lowest-scoring team in the league, making this a favorable matchup for the Eagles' top-tier defense. Porto, meanwhile, will go up against Chaves, a team with an open tactical approach currently sitting at the bottom of the table. For Porto, securing three points and improving their goal difference is the minimum objective.

Benfica vs. Famalicão - Defending Champions Aim to Lead into the New Year

This season’s Primeira Liga title race has transformed from a two-horse race in the past two seasons to a three-way battle. The top three traditional powerhouses are all within one match’s worth of points, making the title race intensely competitive. Defending champions Benfica are currently one point behind leaders Sporting CP, and a win against Famalicão could see them top the table as 2023 comes to a close.

In their last match, ten days ago in Round 14, Benfica efficiently secured a crucial away victory against fellow title contender Braga. The Eagles struck early, with summer signing Orkun Kökçü assisting striker Casper Tengstedt for a third-minute lead. Braga pushed hard for an equalizer, but Benfica’s defense, led by World Cup-winning center-back Nicolás Otamendi, held firm to secure a 1-0 victory. Despite losing key striker Gonçalo Ramos in the summer and juggling Champions League commitments, Benfica's efficiency in securing points remains impressive.

Famalicão, on the other hand, have taken solid steps towards avoiding relegation this season. Despite scoring just 13 goals—the fewest in the league—they have conceded only 15, with only three teams boasting better defensive records. Their last two matches ended in 1-1 draws against mid-to-lower table sides Portimonense and Estoril, where they dominated possession but failed to convert chances into victories. With tougher fixtures ahead, Famalicão's ability to secure points might be tested further.

Benfica have achieved three consecutive clean-sheet victories against Famalicão in both the league and the Portuguese Cup, though they’ve never scored more than two goals in a single match. This time around, Famalicão will likely adopt a damage-limitation approach, and Benfica are expected to secure a 2-0 win.

Porto vs. Chaves - Bottom-Dwellers Face a Tough Challenge

Porto’s first half of the season has been generally satisfactory. They remain in contention, closely trailing league leaders Sporting CP, and are the only Portuguese team to progress from their Champions League group. However, a recent 2-0 defeat to Sporting in a direct clash was a missed opportunity to climb the rankings. Conceding early in the 11th minute, Porto struggled to mount an effective comeback, and their efforts were further hampered by Pepe's red card in the 51st minute. Given these challenges, a 2-0 loss was perhaps a fortunate result.

Chaves, sitting at the bottom of the table, are not out of the survival race yet, trailing the safety zone by just one match’s worth of points. In their previous game against Casa Pia, Chaves engaged in an open contest but were outclassed, suffering a 3-1 defeat. Chaves have been defensively porous this season, averaging nearly three goals conceded per game. Despite occasional wins, head coach Moreno has not altered their aggressive approach. Facing Porto, it remains to be seen if Moreno will maintain this attacking stance.

Porto's players have had a nine-day rest, and against the bottom team, their aim will be to maximize both points and goal difference. Porto are expected to secure a comprehensive 3-0 victory.

Benfica’s Path to Leadership

Benfica’s recent form and defensive solidity position them as strong contenders to take the lead going into the new year. The 1-0 win against Braga highlighted their ability to efficiently secure crucial points, even in tight contests. The tactical adjustments by manager Roger Schmidt, focusing on a solid defensive setup while maintaining attacking efficiency, have been pivotal.

The summer transfer window saw Benfica losing star striker Gonçalo Ramos, which initially raised concerns about their offensive capabilities. However, new signings, particularly Kökçü, have stepped up, providing crucial contributions. The squad’s depth and versatility have allowed Schmidt to navigate both domestic and European competitions effectively.

Benfica's defensive record is a cornerstone of their current success. Led by Otamendi, their backline has been resolute, conceding few goals and maintaining multiple clean sheets. This defensive strength will be crucial as they face Famalicão, a team struggling to find the back of the net. With their current form and tactical discipline, Benfica are well-positioned to secure the top spot.

Porto’s Urgency for Points and Goals

Porto’s urgency to secure maximum points and improve their goal difference is underscored by their recent defeat to Sporting. Manager Sérgio Conceição will be keen to ensure that his team bounces back strongly. The rest period following their last match has provided an opportunity for tactical adjustments and recovery, crucial for a demanding fixture list ahead.

Porto’s defensive solidity will be tested, especially in the absence of Pepe due to suspension. Conceição will likely rely on experienced players like Iván Marcano and Diogo Leite to fill the gap and maintain defensive stability. The midfield, orchestrated by Otávio and Stephen Eustáquio, will be key in controlling the tempo and providing support to the defense.

In attack, Mehdi Taremi and Evanilson will be pivotal in breaking down Chaves’ defense. Taremi’s clinical finishing and Evanilson’s creativity will be crucial in ensuring Porto not only secure a win but also boost their goal difference. Given Chaves’ defensive vulnerabilities, Porto’s attacking players have a prime opportunity to shine.

Famalicão’s Defensive Resilience

Famalicão’s defensive resilience has been the highlight of their campaign. Despite their struggles in front of goal, their ability to limit opponents’ scoring opportunities has kept them afloat. Manager João Pedro Sousa’s focus on a solid defensive structure has paid dividends, with Famalicão boasting one of the better defensive records in the league.

Against Benfica, Famalicão will need to be at their defensive best. Their approach will likely involve a deep defensive block, aimed at frustrating Benfica’s attackers and limiting clear-cut chances. Goalkeeper Luiz Júnior will be pivotal, needing to be in top form to deny Benfica’s efficient attack.

The challenge for Famalicão will be to find a balance between defense and attack. While their primary goal will be to avoid a heavy defeat, any opportunities to counterattack will need to be seized. Players like Ivo Rodrigues and Jhonder Cádiz will need to capitalize on any chances that come their way.

Chaves’ Offensive Approach

Chaves’ offensive approach has been both their strength and weakness. While they have shown an ability to score goals, their defensive frailties have often left them exposed. Manager Moreno’s commitment to an open, attacking style has resulted in entertaining matches but has not translated into consistent results.

Against Porto, Chaves will face a formidable challenge. Their attacking players, including Héctor Hernández and João Teixeira, will need to be at their sharpest to breach Porto’s defense. However, Moreno may need to consider a more balanced approach to avoid a heavy defeat.

Chaves’ survival hopes hinge on their ability to tighten up defensively while maintaining their attacking threat. The match against Porto presents an opportunity to test their resilience and adaptability. A disciplined performance could boost their confidence and provide a platform for future matches.

As the 15th round of the Primeira Liga unfolds, the stakes are high for all teams involved. Benfica's pursuit of the top spot, Porto’s urgent need for points and goals, Famalicão’s defensive resilience, and Chaves’ offensive approach all contribute to the excitement and drama of the league. The outcomes of these matches will significantly impact the title race and the battle for survival, setting the stage for an intriguing second half of the season.