Europa League Round of 16 First Leg: AC Milan Finally Gets a Favorable Draw, Roma's New Coach Finds Stability

The Europa League Round of 16 is set to kick off, and fans are eagerly anticipating the outcomes of the first leg matchups. Among the most intriguing are AC Milan’s clash with Slavia Prague and Roma’s encounter with Brighton. AC Milan, having previously been eliminated by Premier League giants Arsenal and Manchester United at this stage, now face a comparatively weaker Czech opponent. Meanwhile, Roma's new coach Daniele De Rossi has managed to stabilize the team, significantly boosting their attacking prowess.

AC Milan vs. Slavia Prague - Third Time's the Charm?

AC Milan’s struggles with maintaining high-level performances across multiple competitions have been evident. Although they comfortably dispatched Rennes in the previous Europa League round, their Serie A form suffered, with dropped points against Monza and Atalanta. Coach Stefano Pioli has admitted that Milan is out of the running for this season’s league title, but securing a top-four finish remains achievable. This position allows them to focus more intently on their Europa League campaign.

In their recent Serie A match against Lazio, Milan secured a controversial victory. Christian Pulisic's actions in the 57th minute led to Lazio’s Pellegrini receiving a second yellow card and being sent off. Pulisic, instead of kicking the ball out for an injured player, continued his run, resulting in Pellegrini fouling him. Milan’s attacking threat increased afterward, culminating in a late winner from Okafor in the 88th minute. Tensions flared, leading to straight red cards for Lazio’s Marusic and Guendouzi, the latter for retaliating against Pulisic.

Slavia Prague topped their Europa League group, finishing ahead of Roma with an impressive 17 goals, second only to Bayer Leverkusen. Their group also included Sheriff, known for their Champions League upset against Real Madrid. Slavia’s performance thus far underscores their quality. Recently, they played a goalless Prague derby against Sparta, highlighting their need for improvement to claim their first league title since 2021. The Czech league introduced a championship playoff in the 2021-2022 season, and Slavia has since been unable to secure the title, losing out to Sparta on goal difference last season and currently trailing by four points.

For Milan, this is their third appearance in the Europa League Round of 16 since the competition's reformation. Having previously been eliminated by Arsenal and Manchester United, they now face a less formidable opponent in Slavia Prague. This draw presents a prime opportunity for Milan to advance further in the competition.

Roma vs. Brighton - De Rossi Shows His Mettle

After a 2-4 defeat to Inter Milan, Roma’s honeymoon period under new coach Daniele De Rossi seemed over. However, the team did not spiral into crisis despite De Rossi’s limited managerial experience. Instead, Roma entered a period of stability, first eliminating Feyenoord from European competition for the third consecutive season and then securing two consecutive league victories. Currently, Roma is only four points behind the Champions League qualification spots, silencing critics who doubted De Rossi’s impact.

Brighton’s recent form has been disappointing, sliding down the Premier League table into the bottom half. Despite the Europa League group stage ending two months ago, Brighton’s situation has not improved. A significant factor is the decline in Kaoru Mitoma’s threat. Firstly, Mitoma appears fatigued. Secondly, opponents have effectively employed double-marking strategies, reducing his ability to cut inside. Manager Roberto De Zerbi has yet to find a solution to this tactical challenge. Mitoma’s potential injury absence for the remainder of the season further dampens Brighton’s prospects.

In contrast, Roma boasts a stronger squad depth compared to Brighton. With De Rossi at the helm, Roma has shown resilience and tactical adaptability, making them a formidable opponent in this round.

Tactical Analysis and Key Players

AC Milan's Tactical Approach:

Milan’s strategy often revolves around high pressing and quick transitions. Players like Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic provide pace and creativity on the wings, while Olivier Giroud’s experience and aerial prowess are vital in the center. The midfield, led by Sandro Tonali, combines defensive solidity with the ability to launch attacks.

Slavia Prague's Resilience:

Slavia Prague is known for their organized defense and effective counter-attacking play. Key players include Petr Sevcik, who orchestrates play from midfield, and Peter Olayinka, whose speed and skill can trouble defenses. Their recent goalless draw in the Prague derby indicates a robust defense, essential for their European campaign.

Roma's Revival Under De Rossi:

De Rossi has instilled a sense of discipline and attacking intent in Roma. Key players like Lorenzo Pellegrini and Paulo Dybala provide creativity and goal-scoring threats, while defenders Chris Smalling and Gianluca Mancini ensure defensive stability. Roma’s tactical flexibility allows them to adapt to different opponents, making them a dangerous side.

Brighton's Struggles and Potential Adjustments:

Brighton’s decline is partly due to their over-reliance on Mitoma. Without him, they need players like Solly March and Pascal Gross to step up. De Zerbi must find alternative attacking patterns and improve defensive organization to compete effectively against Roma.

Psychological Factors and Team Dynamics

Milan’s Confidence Boost:

Advancing past Rennes and the controversial win against Lazio have boosted Milan’s confidence. This psychological edge, coupled with their focus on the Europa League, positions them well against Slavia Prague.

Slavia Prague's Underdog Spirit:

Slavia thrives on their underdog status. Their group stage performance demonstrated their ability to compete against stronger teams. This mentality, combined with tactical discipline, makes them a challenging opponent for Milan.

Roma’s Stability and Momentum:

De Rossi’s impact has stabilized Roma, turning them into a cohesive unit. The team’s recent successes in European and domestic competitions have built momentum, fostering a positive environment.

Brighton's Urgency and Adaptability:

Brighton faces the urgent task of reversing their downward spiral. Their adaptability and resilience will be tested against a resurgent Roma. De Zerbi’s tactical adjustments and player performances will be crucial.

Historical Context and Recent Form

AC Milan vs. Slavia Prague:

Historically, Milan has a stronger European pedigree. Their recent form, especially in the Europa League, suggests they are favorites. Slavia’s impressive group stage performance, however, cannot be overlooked.

Roma vs. Brighton:

Roma’s European experience and recent stability give them an edge. Brighton’s dip in form and key player absences make their task harder. Roma’s tactical flexibility and squad depth position them as favorites.

Predictions and Expected Outcomes

Milan’s Path to Victory:

Milan is expected to leverage their attacking talent and experience to secure a win. A solid defensive performance will be key to preventing Slavia from exploiting counter-attacks.

Slavia Prague's Defensive Challenge:

Slavia needs to maintain defensive discipline and capitalize on set-pieces. Their underdog spirit and tactical organization will be crucial in frustrating Milan.

Roma’s Dominance:

Roma is likely to dominate possession and create numerous chances. De Rossi’s tactical acumen and player form should see them secure a comfortable win.

Brighton’s Struggle:

Brighton must improve their defensive organization and find alternative attacking routes. Their current form suggests a tough battle, with Roma expected to capitalize on their weaknesses.

In conclusion, the Europa League Round of 16 first leg promises thrilling encounters. AC Milan, with a favorable draw, aims to advance further, while Roma seeks to continue their resurgence under De Rossi. Both matches will significantly influence the teams' European campaigns, providing fans with exciting and competitive football.